Frosinone vs Parma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Parma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Frosinone wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frosinone vs Parma?
Frosinone starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,044 vs 1,917).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Frosinone vs Parma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 10R. Schmid
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 3G. Calvani
- 20A. Oyono
- 2G. Cittadini
- 22L. Palmisani
Parma
3-4-2-1- 23N. Elphege
- 14E. Valeri
- 15E. Del Prato
- 19E. Touré
- 16M. Keita
- 4V. Sierro
- 80G. Fabbian
- 37M. Troilo
- 34Diego Carlos
- 29F. Carboni
- 40E. Corvi
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frosinone have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Parma have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frosinone wins, 1 draw, 3 Parma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | Frosinone 3-4 Parma | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Parma 2-1 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Jan 21, 2022 | Parma 0-1 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2021 | Frosinone 2-2 Parma | Serie B |
| Dec 5, 2019 | Parma 2-1 Frosinone | Coppa Italia |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Frosinone 3-2 Parma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Frosinone score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Parma score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Parma | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frosinone sit 9th in Serie A (10 points from 6 matches) and Parma sit 18th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Frosinone vs Parma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Parma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Parma.
- Where and when is Frosinone vs Parma played?
- Frosinone vs Parma is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Benito Stirpe, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.