Academica Balș vs Filiaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Parc, Balş
The Footlab model makes Academica Balș the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Filiaşi. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica Balș vs Filiaşi?
Academica Balș starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,486 vs 1,331).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica Balș have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Filiaşi have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 3-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | U Craiova 1948(away) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 8, 2026 | Alexandria(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | CSL Nanov(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Academica Balș win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Filiaşi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Academica Balș 5-1 Filiaşi | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Filiaşi 0-1 Academica Balș | Liga III - Serie 5 |
Last archived meeting: Academica Balș vs Filiaşi on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Academica Balș score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Filiaşi score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica Balș | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Filiaşi | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica Balș vs Filiaşi?
- The Footlab model makes Academica Balș the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Filiaşi.
- Where and when is Academica Balș vs Filiaşi played?
- Academica Balș vs Filiaşi is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Parc, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.