Jiul Petroşani vs CSM Targu Jiu: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Petre Libardi, Petroşani
The Footlab model makes Jiul Petroşani the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for CSM Targu Jiu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jiul Petroşani vs CSM Targu Jiu?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Jiul Petroşani (1,484) and CSM Targu Jiu (1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jiul Petroşani have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CSM Targu Jiu have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 4-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Academica Balș(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(home) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Păușești(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Jiul Petroşani win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 CSM Targu Jiu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSM Targu Jiu 3-1 Jiul Petroşani | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Jiul Petroşani 2-0 CSM Targu Jiu | Liga III - Serie 6 |
Last archived meeting: CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petroşani on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jiul Petroşani score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Targu Jiu score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiul Petroşani | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| CSM Targu Jiu | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jiul Petroşani sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 6 (37 points from 22 matches) and CSM Targu Jiu sit 3rd (43 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Jiul Petroşani | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jiul Petroşani vs CSM Targu Jiu?
- The Footlab model makes Jiul Petroşani the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for CSM Targu Jiu.
- Where and when is Jiul Petroşani vs CSM Targu Jiu played?
- Jiul Petroşani vs CSM Targu Jiu is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Petre Libardi, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.