Académica do Lobito vs CD Lunda-Sul: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Buraco, Lobito
The Footlab model makes Académica do Lobito the favourite at 36%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for CD Lunda-Sul. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Académica do Lobito vs CD Lunda-Sul?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Académica do Lobito (1,591) and CD Lunda-Sul (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Académica do Lobito have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CD Lunda-Sul have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-2 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Académica do Lobito win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 CD Lunda-Sul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Académica do Lobito 1-1 CD Lunda-Sul | Girabola |
| Nov 23, 2025 | CD Lunda-Sul 2-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Académica do Lobito 1-2 CD Lunda-Sul | Girabola |
| Sep 28, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul 0-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| May 1, 2024 | Académica do Lobito 0-0 CD Lunda-Sul | Girabola |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul 3-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Académica do Lobito vs CD Lunda-Sul on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Académica do Lobito score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CD Lunda-Sul score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Académica do Lobito | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| CD Lunda-Sul | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Académica do Lobito sit 14th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and CD Lunda-Sul sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | CD Lunda-Sul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Académica do Lobito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Académica do Lobito vs CD Lunda-Sul?
- The Footlab model makes Académica do Lobito the favourite at 36%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for CD Lunda-Sul.
- Where and when is Académica do Lobito vs CD Lunda-Sul played?
- Académica do Lobito vs CD Lunda-Sul is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Buraco, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.