1º de Maio vs Wiliete: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs Wiliete?
Wiliete starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,589).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Wiliete have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Luanda City(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 1º de Maio win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Wiliete win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Wiliete 1-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Sep 24, 2025 | 1º de Maio 0-1 Wiliete | Girabola |
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wiliete score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Wiliete | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Wiliete sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wiliete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs Wiliete?
- The Footlab model makes Wiliete the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for 1º de Maio.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs Wiliete played?
- 1º de Maio vs Wiliete is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 20261º de AgostovsSagrada Esperança
- Dec 12, 2026Académica do LobitovsCD Lunda-Sul
- Dec 12, 2026InterclubevsSporting de Cabinda
- Dec 12, 2026Petro de LuandavsDesportivo Huíla
- Dec 12, 2026Recreativo do LibolovsKabuscorp
- Dec 12, 2026Recreativo da CaálavsSão Salvador
- Dec 12, 2026FC LuandavsBravos do Maquis FC