Academica Recea vs Minaur Baia Mare: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Academica Recea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica Recea vs Minaur Baia Mare?
Minaur Baia Mare starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,598 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Academica Recea have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Minaur Baia Mare have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Minerul Rodna(away) | 2-16 | Cupa României |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Ştiinţa Beltiug(home) | 1-8 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica Recea score 1.5 and concede 12.0 goals per match over their last 2; Minaur Baia Mare score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica Recea | 1.5 | 12.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Minaur Baia Mare | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica Recea vs Minaur Baia Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Academica Recea.
- Where and when is Academica Recea vs Minaur Baia Mare played?
- Academica Recea vs Minaur Baia Mare is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.