Unirea Dej vs Academica Recea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal Dej, Dej
The Footlab model makes Unirea Dej the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Academica Recea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unirea Dej vs Academica Recea?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Unirea Dej (1,323) and Academica Recea (1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unirea Dej have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Academica Recea have 0, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Sânmartin(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Olimpia Satu Mare(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Minerul Rodna(away) | 2-16 | Cupa României |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Ştiinţa Beltiug(home) | 1-8 | Cupa României |
How many goals should we expect?
Unirea Dej score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Academica Recea score 1.5 and concede 12.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unirea Dej | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Academica Recea | 1.5 | 12.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unirea Dej | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unirea Dej vs Academica Recea?
- The Footlab model makes Unirea Dej the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Academica Recea.
- Where and when is Unirea Dej vs Academica Recea played?
- Unirea Dej vs Academica Recea is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal Dej, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.