Academica Recea vs Sânmartin: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Academica Recea the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sânmartin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica Recea vs Sânmartin?
Sânmartin starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,480 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Academica Recea have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Sânmartin have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Minerul Rodna(away) | 2-16 | Cupa României |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Ştiinţa Beltiug(home) | 1-8 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bihorul Beiuş(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Unirea Dej(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 8, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica Recea score 1.5 and concede 12.0 goals per match over their last 2; Sânmartin score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica Recea | 1.5 | 12.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Sânmartin | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sânmartin | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica Recea vs Sânmartin?
- The Footlab model makes Academica Recea the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sânmartin.
- Where and when is Academica Recea vs Sânmartin played?
- Academica Recea vs Sânmartin is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.