Sânmartin vs Academica Recea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal Sânmartin, Sânmartin
The Footlab model makes Sânmartin the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Academica Recea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sânmartin vs Academica Recea?
Sânmartin starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,480 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sânmartin have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Academica Recea have 0, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bihorul Beiuş(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Unirea Dej(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 8, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Minerul Rodna(away) | 2-16 | Cupa României |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Ştiinţa Beltiug(home) | 1-8 | Cupa României |
How many goals should we expect?
Sânmartin score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Academica Recea score 1.5 and concede 12.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sânmartin | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Academica Recea | 1.5 | 12.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sânmartin | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sânmartin vs Academica Recea?
- The Footlab model makes Sânmartin the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Academica Recea.
- Where and when is Sânmartin vs Academica Recea played?
- Sânmartin vs Academica Recea is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal Sânmartin, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.