Academica Recea vs Unirea Tășnad: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Academica Recea the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Unirea Tășnad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica Recea vs Unirea Tășnad?
Unirea Tășnad starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,509 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Academica Recea have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Unirea Tășnad have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Minerul Rodna(away) | 2-16 | Cupa României |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Ştiinţa Beltiug(home) | 1-8 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica Recea score 1.5 and concede 12.0 goals per match over their last 2; Unirea Tășnad score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica Recea | 1.5 | 12.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Unirea Tășnad | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unirea Tășnad | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 54 | 23 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica Recea vs Unirea Tășnad?
- The Footlab model makes Academica Recea the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Unirea Tășnad.
- Where and when is Academica Recea vs Unirea Tășnad played?
- Academica Recea vs Unirea Tășnad is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.