Academica vs U. Madeira: result 3-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
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What was the result of Academica vs U. Madeira?
Academica won 3-1 on January 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 8′Ricardo NascimentoAcademica
- 21′Paulo Armando da Silva MonteiroU. Madeira (pen.)
- 67′Fernando Jose Ribeiro AlexandreAcademica
- 85′João Daniel Mendes RealAcademica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; U. Madeira have 3, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2015 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2015 | Belenenses(home) | 4-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2015 | Benfica(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Arouca(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 6, 2015 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2015 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2015 | Benfica(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-6 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Tondela(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2015 | FC Porto(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; U. Madeira score 0.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| U. Madeira | 0.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 3/14 | 5/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy