Nacional vs Arouca: result 2-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Full time
What was the result of Nacional vs Arouca?
Nacional and Arouca drew 2-2 on January 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 13′ZequinhaArouca
- 18′Salvador AgraNacional (pen.)
- 44′David SimãoArouca
- 90′Luís Miguel Coimbra AurélioNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arouca have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2015 | Moreirense(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 13, 2015 | FC Porto(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2015 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | Maritimo(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Boavista(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Academica(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | Arouca 3-3 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Nacional 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Nacional 0-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Arouca | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 7th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy