Academica vs Varzim: result 3-2 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2016 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
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What was the result of Academica vs Varzim?
Academica won 3-2 on October 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 8′Rui CostaVarzim
- 21′T. MakondaAcademica
- 69′Rui MiguelAcademica
- 77′Antonio José Marreco de GouveiaAcademica
- 86′Rui CostaVarzim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Varzim have 4, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2016 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Fafe(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Gouveia(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cova De Piedade(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Famalicao(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2016 | Freamunde(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 28, 2016 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Anadia(away) | 4-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Olhanense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2016 | SC Braga B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Varzim | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy