Acassuso vs San Telmo: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Quema, San Isidro, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Acassuso the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for San Telmo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acassuso vs San Telmo?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Acassuso (1,645) and San Telmo (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acassuso have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; San Telmo have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Midland(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 1-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Acassuso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 San Telmo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | San Telmo 2-3 Acassuso | Primera Nacional |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Acassuso 0-1 San Telmo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 10, 2019 | Acassuso 0-2 San Telmo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 27, 2018 | San Telmo 0-2 Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 18, 2018 | Acassuso 1-0 San Telmo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 30, 2017 | San Telmo 0-1 Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana |
How many goals should we expect?
Acassuso score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; San Telmo score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acassuso | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| San Telmo | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Acassuso sit 18th in Primera Nacional (22 points from 25 matches) and San Telmo sit 17th (24 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | San Telmo | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acassuso vs San Telmo?
- The Footlab model makes Acassuso the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for San Telmo.
- Where and when is Acassuso vs San Telmo played?
- Acassuso vs San Telmo is played on August 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Quema, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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