Accra Lions vs Kotoku Royals: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Accra Lions the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Kotoku Royals. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accra Lions vs Kotoku Royals?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Accra Lions (1,480) and Kotoku Royals (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accra Lions have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kotoku Royals have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Port City(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Na God(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hakla SC(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Inter Allies(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Great Ambitions(away) | 5-0 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Karela(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Tamale City(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2023 | Asante Kotoko(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Accra Lions win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kotoku Royals win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Accra Lions 1-1 Kotoku Royals | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Kotoku Royals 1-0 Accra Lions | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Accra Lions vs Kotoku Royals on Feb 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Accra Lions score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kotoku Royals score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accra Lions | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kotoku Royals | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Accra Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accra Lions vs Kotoku Royals?
- The Footlab model makes Accra Lions the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Kotoku Royals.
- Where and when is Accra Lions vs Kotoku Royals played?
- Accra Lions vs Kotoku Royals is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.