Accrington ST vs Derby: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 26, 2019 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Accrington ST vs Derby?
Derby won 0-1 on January 26, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 78′M. WaghornDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | Charlton(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Jan 8, 2019 | Bury(home) | 2-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Bradford(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | Reading(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 16, 2019 | Southampton(away) | 4-4 | FA Cup |
| Jan 11, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Southampton(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy