Acero vs Torrent: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Fornás, El Port de Sagunt
The Footlab model makes Torrent the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Acero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acero vs Torrent?
Torrent starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acero have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Torrent have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Silla(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 5, 2024 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 1, 2024 | Elche II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Utiel(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Barcelona B(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Girona II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Acero win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Torrent win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Torrent 2-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Acero 1-0 Torrent | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Acero 2-0 Torrent | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Torrent 0-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Torrent 0-2 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Acero 0-3 Torrent | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Acero score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Torrent score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acero | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Torrent | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acero vs Torrent?
- The Footlab model makes Torrent the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Acero.
- Where and when is Acero vs Torrent played?
- Acero vs Torrent is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Fornás, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.