Villarreal III vs Utiel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 · Matchday 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Utiel. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal III vs Utiel?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villarreal III vs Utiel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villarreal III
Not enough data to predict the Villarreal III lineup.
Utiel
Not enough data to predict the Utiel lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal III have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Utiel have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SC Torrevieja(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crevillente(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crevillente(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villarreal III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Villarreal III wins, 0 draws, 1 Utiel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Utiel 0-1 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Villarreal III 3-1 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Utiel 0-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Utiel 1-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Villarreal III 1-0 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Villarreal III 3-1 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Utiel vs Villarreal III on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal III score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Utiel score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal III | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Utiel | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal III sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (24 points from 10 matches) and Utiel sit 15th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 15 | Utiel | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Villarreal III vs Utiel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal III vs Utiel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Utiel.
- Where and when is Villarreal III vs Utiel played?
- Villarreal III vs Utiel is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.