Acero vs Villarreal III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Fornás, El Port de Sagunt
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Acero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal III wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,396 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acero vs Villarreal III?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Acero vs Villarreal III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Acero
4-3-3- FFerrán Giner
- VVíctor Juliá
- JJulio Insa
- JJavier Martí Vila
- FFuster
- SSanjuán
- FF. Delorenzi
- AAlejandro Guillén Lorenzo
- DDamián Sánchez
- ÁÁlvaro Loza
- CCharlie Florencio
Villarreal III
Not enough data to predict the Villarreal III lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acero have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Villarreal III have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torrent(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eldense B(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atzeneta(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SC Torrevieja(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crevillente(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Acero wins, 1 draw, 3 Villarreal III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Acero 3-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Villarreal III 5-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Villarreal III 3-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Acero 1-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Villarreal III 0-1 Acero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Acero 2-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Acero vs Villarreal III on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Acero score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal III score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acero | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Villarreal III | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Acero sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (15 points from 10 matches) and Villarreal III sit 1st (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Acero | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
A question about Acero vs Villarreal III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acero vs Villarreal III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Acero.
- Where and when is Acero vs Villarreal III played?
- Acero vs Villarreal III is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Fornás, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.