Hércules II vs Utiel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Juan Antonio Samaranch, Alacant
The Footlab model makes Hércules II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Utiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hércules II vs Utiel?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hércules II (1,686) and Utiel (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hércules II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Utiel have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Villarreal III(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Alzira(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hércules II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Utiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Utiel 1-2 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Hércules II 0-2 Utiel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Hércules II score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Utiel score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules II | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Utiel | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hércules II sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (41 points from 34 matches) and Utiel sit 16th (31 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hércules II | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 41 |
| 16 | Utiel | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 45 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hércules II vs Utiel?
- The Footlab model makes Hércules II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Utiel.
- Where and when is Hércules II vs Utiel played?
- Hércules II vs Utiel is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Juan Antonio Samaranch, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.