AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rafael Bolaños, Alajuela
The Footlab model makes AD Carmelita the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate AD Carmelita (1,499) and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Carmelita have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Santa Ana(home) | 2-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CS Uruguay(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 AD Carmelita win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | AD Carmelita 1-0 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 0-0 AD Carmelita | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 2-0 AD Carmelita | Liga de Ascenso |
| Sep 4, 2025 | AD Carmelita 2-1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AD Carmelita score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Carmelita | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Carmelita sit 9th in Liga de Ascenso (5 points from 4 matches) and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | AD Carmelita | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
- The Footlab model makes AD Carmelita the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
- Where and when is AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC played?
- AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rafael Bolaños, in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.