Aserri FC vs Cariari Pococi: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Aserri FC the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Cariari Pococi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aserri FC vs Cariari Pococi?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Aserri FC (1,465) and Cariari Pococi (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aserri FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cariari Pococi have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Santa Ana(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 29, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aserri FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Cariari Pococi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aserri FC 2-2 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Cariari Pococi 2-2 Aserri FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Cariari Pococi 3-0 Aserri FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Aserri FC 0-1 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Cariari Pococi 2-1 Aserri FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Aserri FC 3-1 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Aserri FC vs Cariari Pococi on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aserri FC score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cariari Pococi score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aserri FC | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cariari Pococi | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aserri FC sit 4th in Liga de Ascenso (7 points from 6 matches) and Cariari Pococi sit 6th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aserri FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Cariari Pococi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aserri FC vs Cariari Pococi?
- The Footlab model makes Aserri FC the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Cariari Pococi.
- Where and when is Aserri FC vs Cariari Pococi played?
- Aserri FC vs Cariari Pococi is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.