Match

Adama Kenema vs Gamo Chencha: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Adama Stadium, Nazreth

Adama KenemaGamo Chencha

The Footlab AI model makes Adama Kenema the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Adama Kenema wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,728 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adama Kenema vs Gamo Chencha?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Adama Kenema (1,493) and Gamo Chencha (1,443).

41%34%25%
Adama Kenema winDrawGamo Chencha win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Adama Kenema vs Gamo Chencha

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Adama Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 18Abubeker Sani
  2. 15A. Elias
  3. 12D. Hotessa
  1. 16A. Sisay
  2. 25W. Gadissa
  3. 9N. Nuri
  1. 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
  2. 6M. Abdulkarim
  3. 21S. Yohannes
  4. 15M. Awol
  1. 1A. Markos

Gamo Chencha

Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adama Kenema have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Gamo Chencha have 0, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adama Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Negelle Arsi(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)1-0Premier League
Gamo Chencha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)0-2Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adama Kenema0.90.875/154/15
Gamo Chencha0.31.311/41/4

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Adama Kenema sit 10th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Gamo Chencha sit 18th (1 point from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Adama Kenema5131226
18Gamo Chencha4013151

A question about Adama Kenema vs Gamo Chencha?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adama Kenema vs Gamo Chencha?
The Footlab AI model makes Adama Kenema the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Gamo Chencha.
Where and when is Adama Kenema vs Gamo Chencha played?
Adama Kenema vs Gamo Chencha is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Adama Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Adama Kenema and Gamo Chencha

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