Match

Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fasiledes Stadium, Gondar

Fasil KetemaMekelakeya

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for Fasil Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Fasil Ketema (1,527) and Mekelakeya (1,565).

27%35%38%
Fasil Ketema winDrawMekelakeya win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fasil Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Fasil Ketema lineup.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:51 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fasil Ketema have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mekelakeya have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fasil Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 20, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)0-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-0Premier League
Jun 26, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)0-1Premier League
Jun 22, 2026Arba Minch Kenema(home)2-0Premier League
Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)0-2Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fasil Ketema win, 4 draws, 1 Mekelakeya win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 13, 2026Fasil Ketema 0-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
Nov 9, 2025Mekelakeya 0-0 Fasil KetemaPremier League
Mar 12, 2025Mekelakeya 2-4 Fasil KetemaPremier League
Jan 21, 2025Fasil Ketema 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jun 14, 2024Fasil Ketema 0-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jan 25, 2024Mekelakeya 0-0 Fasil KetemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya on Mar 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fasil Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mekelakeya score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fasil Ketema0.80.974/154/15
Mekelakeya0.80.784/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fasil Ketema sit 11th in Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and Mekelakeya sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mekelakeya2101113
11Fasil Ketema2020112

A question about Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for Fasil Ketema.
Where and when is Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya played?
Fasil Ketema vs Mekelakeya is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fasiledes Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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