Match

Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Adama Stadium, Nazreth

Adama KenemaSheger Ketema

The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Adama Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sheger Ketema wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Adama Kenema (1,497) and Sheger Ketema (1,551).

28%32%40%
Adama Kenema winDrawSheger Ketema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Adama Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 18Abubeker Sani
  2. 15A. Elias
  3. 12D. Hotessa
  1. 16A. Sisay
  2. 25W. Gadissa
  3. 9N. Nuri
  1. 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
  2. 6M. Abdulkarim
  3. 21S. Yohannes
  4. 15M. Awol
  1. 1A. Markos

Sheger Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adama Kenema have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Sheger Ketema have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adama Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)3-2Premier League
Jun 27, 2026Welayta Dicha(home)0-2Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Mekelle Kenema(away)0-0Premier League
Jun 15, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)2-1Premier League
May 30, 2026Sidama Bunna(away)0-1Premier League
Sheger Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Suhul Shire(away)2-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Mekelakeya(home)2-0Premier League
Jun 20, 2026Dire Dawa Kenema(away)0-2Premier League
Jun 16, 2026Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home)0-0Premier League
May 29, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)1-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Adama Kenema wins, 2 draws, 0 Sheger Ketema wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Adama Kenema 3-3 Sheger KetemaPremier League
Oct 23, 2025Sheger Ketema 0-0 Adama KenemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema on Feb 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Adama Kenema score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sheger Ketema score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adama Kenema1.01.347/157/15
Sheger Ketema1.00.785/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Adama Kenema3410915344539

A question about Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Adama Kenema.
Where and when is Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema played?
Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Adama Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Adama Kenema and Sheger Ketema

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