Match

Adanaspor vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 25Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

AdanasporDiyarbekirspor

The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adanaspor vs Diyarbekirspor?

Diyarbekirspor starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,523 vs 1,344).

Adanaspor win29 %
Draw27 %
Diyarbekirspor win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adanaspor have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adanaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-62. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 4, 20261461 Trabzon FK(home)0-32. Lig
Mar 25, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(home)1-82. Lig
Mar 15, 2026Somaspor(away)0-52. Lig
Diyarbekirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)2-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)4-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Adanaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2019Adanaspor 3-0 DiyarbekirsporTürkiye Kupası
Dec 3, 2015Adanaspor 3-1 DiyarbekirsporTürkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Adanaspor vs Diyarbekirspor on Oct 29, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adanaspor0.15.302/1514/15
Diyarbekirspor1.11.356/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adanaspor vs Diyarbekirspor?
The Footlab model makes Diyarbekirspor the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Adanaspor.
Where and when is Adanaspor vs Diyarbekirspor played?
Adanaspor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Adanaspor and Diyarbekirspor

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