Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 25Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, Malatya
The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor?
Talasgücü Belediyespor starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,589 vs 1,344).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Malatyaspor have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Talasgücü Belediyespor have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 3-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(home) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Talasgücü Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeni Malatyaspor | 0.6 | 4.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Talasgücü Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
- Where and when is Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor played?
- Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027AdanasporvsDiyarbekirspor
- Feb 28, 2027Kırşehir BelediyesporvsAdana Adaletgucu
- Feb 28, 2027Ağrı 1970vsNiğde Belediyesispor
- Feb 28, 2027Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporvsMazıdağı Fosfatspor
- Feb 28, 2027Karaman FKvsKaraköprü Belediyespor
- Feb 28, 2027OsmaniyesporvsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- Feb 28, 2027Silifke BelediyesporvsYeşilyurt Belediyespor
- Feb 28, 2027Yozgat Bld BozoksporvsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu