Match

Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 25Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, Malatya

Yeni MalatyasporTalasgücü Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor?

Talasgücü Belediyespor starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,589 vs 1,344).

Yeni Malatyaspor win26 %
Draw27 %
Talasgücü Belediyespor win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Malatyaspor have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Talasgücü Belediyespor have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeni Malatyaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Nov 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 25, 20251461 Trabzon FK(home)0-42. Lig
Oct 19, 2025Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 11, 2025Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-82. Lig
Talasgücü Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home)3-43. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Niğde Belediyesispor(home)3-23. Lig - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Talasgücü Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yeni Malatyaspor0.64.519/1512/15
Talasgücü Belediyespor1.71.359/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor?
The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where and when is Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor played?
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Talasgücü Belediyespor is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yeni Malatyaspor and Talasgücü Belediyespor

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