Match

Adanaspor vs Karaman FK: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

AdanasporKaraman FK

The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adanaspor vs Karaman FK?

Karaman FK starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,501 vs 1,334).

Adanaspor win22 %
Draw23 %
Karaman FK win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adanaspor have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Karaman FK have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adanaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-62. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 4, 20261461 Trabzon FK(home)0-32. Lig
Mar 25, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(home)1-82. Lig
Mar 15, 2026Somaspor(away)0-52. Lig
Karaman FK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beykoz Anadolu(home)3-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaraspor(away)4-52. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-42. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Kastamonuspor(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(home)1-32. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karaman FK score 1.0 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adanaspor0.15.302/1514/15
Karaman FK1.03.018/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adanaspor vs Karaman FK?
The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Adanaspor.
Where and when is Adanaspor vs Karaman FK played?
Adanaspor vs Karaman FK is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Adanaspor and Karaman FK

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