Adanaspor vs Karaman FK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana
The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adanaspor vs Karaman FK?
Karaman FK starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,501 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adanaspor have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Karaman FK have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaraspor(away) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karaman FK score 1.0 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adanaspor | 0.1 | 5.3 | 0 | 2/15 | 14/15 |
| Karaman FK | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adanaspor vs Karaman FK?
- The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Adanaspor.
- Where and when is Adanaspor vs Karaman FK played?
- Adanaspor vs Karaman FK is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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