Ağrı 1970 vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vali Lütfü Yiğenoğlu Stadyumu, Ağrı
The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ağrı 1970 vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Ağrı 1970 (1,631) and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ağrı 1970 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diyarbekirspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ağrı 1970 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0-0 Ağrı 1970 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Ağrı 1970 2-0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Ağrı 1970 on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ağrı 1970 score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ağrı 1970 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ağrı 1970 vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
- Where and when is Ağrı 1970 vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?
- Ağrı 1970 vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vali Lütfü Yiğenoğlu Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026Yeni MalatyasporvsBitlis Özgüzelderespor
- Dec 13, 2026AdanasporvsKaraman FK
- Dec 13, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük AnadoluvsNiğde Belediyesispor
- Dec 13, 2026Yeni Mersin IdmanyurduvsKaraköprü Belediyespor
- Dec 13, 2026DiyarbekirsporvsAdana Adaletgucu
- Dec 13, 2026OsmaniyesporvsKırşehir Belediyespor
- Dec 13, 2026Talasgücü BelediyesporvsYeşilyurt Belediyespor
- Dec 13, 2026Yozgat Bld BozoksporvsSilifke Belediyespor