ADO '20 vs DVS 33 Ermelo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Vlotter veld 1, Heemskerk
The Footlab AI model makes ADO '20 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If ADO '20 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO '20 vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate ADO '20 (1,751) and DVS 33 Ermelo (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADO '20 vs DVS 33 Ermelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADO '20
4-3-3- 26J. Helder
- 14Storm Holtkamp
- 16Eon Herman
- 6D. Boerlage
- 17L. de Wilde
- 19Jesper de Vre
- 2Mikael Schilling
- 9Levi Volkers
- 6Tom Carbaat
- 3Oscar Wilffert
- 22Virgil Deen
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 7J. van Essen
- 11B. Roemeon
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 15T. van Diermen
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO '20 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; DVS 33 Ermelo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hollandia(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 ADO '20 wins, 2 draws, 0 DVS 33 Ermelo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-1 ADO '20 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | ADO '20 0-0 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: DVS 33 Ermelo vs ADO '20 on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ADO '20 score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO '20 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO '20 sit 11th in Derde Divisie (13 points from 9 matches) and DVS 33 Ermelo sit 13th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | ADO '20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 6 |
A question about ADO '20 vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO '20 vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes ADO '20 the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is ADO '20 vs DVS 33 Ermelo played?
- ADO '20 vs DVS 33 Ermelo is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Vlotter veld 1, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.