Aduana Stars vs Karela: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro
The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 57%, against 30% for a draw and 13% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aduana Stars vs Karela?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Aduana Stars (1,574) and Karela (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aduana Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aduana Stars win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Karela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Aduana Stars 2-1 Karela | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Karela 1-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Karela 2-0 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Aduana Stars 1-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Aduana Stars 1-2 Karela | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Karela 2-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aduana Stars vs Karela on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aduana Stars | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aduana Stars sit 6th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Karela sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 50 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aduana Stars vs Karela?
- The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 57%, against 30% for a draw and 13% for Karela.
- Where and when is Aduana Stars vs Karela played?
- Aduana Stars vs Karela is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Agyeman Badu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026DreamsvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Sep 19, 2026Hearts of OakvsBechem United
- Sep 19, 2026Heart of LionsvsSwedru All Blacks
- Sep 19, 2026SamartexvsAsante Kotoko
- Sep 19, 2026Debibi UnitedvsYoung Apostles
- Sep 19, 2026Basake Holy StarsvsAshanti Gold
- Sep 19, 2026VisionvsMedeama
- Sep 19, 2026Port CityvsBerekum Chelsea