Ashanti Gold vs Karela: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Len Clay Stadium, Obuasi
The Footlab model makes Ashanti Gold the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashanti Gold vs Karela?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Ashanti Gold (1,630) and Karela (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashanti Gold have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | King Faisal(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | PAC Academy(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nsuopun Fidelity(away) | 0-3 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Skyy(home) | 4-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rospak(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ashanti Gold win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Karela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | Karela 2-1 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Ashanti Gold 1-1 Karela | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Karela 1-1 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Ashanti Gold 2-2 Karela | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Karela 1-2 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2018 | Karela 0-1 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Karela vs Ashanti Gold on Mar 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Ashanti Gold score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashanti Gold | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashanti Gold vs Karela?
- The Footlab model makes Ashanti Gold the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Karela.
- Where and when is Ashanti Gold vs Karela played?
- Ashanti Gold vs Karela is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Len Clay Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 14, 2026Heart of LionsvsDreams
- Nov 14, 2026SamartexvsHearts of Oak
- Nov 14, 2026Debibi UnitedvsPort City
- Nov 14, 2026Swedru All BlacksvsBerekum Chelsea
- Nov 14, 2026Basake Holy StarsvsVision
- Nov 14, 2026Young ApostlesvsMedeama