AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Anorthosis. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (2,048 vs 1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 21Miramón
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 15H. Miličević
- 23S. Köhler
- 22G. Ekpolo
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 92A. Paleari
Anorthosis
3-4-3- 21Rafael Lopes
- 70M. Ilia
- 32E. Sosa
- 20C. Aboagye
- 88A. Chrysostomou
- 9Alessio Da Cruz
- 36Stijn Middendorp
- 5Kiko
- 44N. Tošić
- 22K. Sergiou
- 28J. Karlstrøm
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Anorthosis have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Aris(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AEK Larnaca wins, 3 draws, 0 Anorthosis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Anorthosis 1-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Anorthosis 2-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Apr 28, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 1-1 Anorthosis | 1. Division |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Anorthosis 0-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis on Jan 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Anorthosis score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Anorthosis | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEK Larnaca sit 3rd in 1. Division (12 points from 5 matches) and Anorthosis sit 13th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
A question about AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Anorthosis.
- Where and when is AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis played?
- AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.