Match

Apollon Limassol vs AEL: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi

Apollon LimassolAEL

The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apollon Limassol wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Apollon Limassol vs AEL?

Apollon Limassol starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,854).

52%25%23%
Apollon Limassol winDrawAEL win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Apollon Limassol vs AEL

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Apollon Limassol

4-2-3-1
  1. 30Dani Escriche
  1. 27G. Weissbeck
  2. 23Brandon Thomas
  3. 12Gustavo Assunção
  4. 10Garry Rodrigues
  5. 77I. Ljubic
  1. 44J. Kvída
  2. 37L. Konomis
  3. 14G. Malekkides
  4. 76Bruno Gaspar
  1. 22P. Kühn

AEL

4-2-3-1
  1. 10R. Oudin
  1. 11L. Singh
  2. 30G. Papageorgiou
  3. 6D. Zdravkovski
  4. 20João Tavares
  5. 80Jair Tavares
  1. 23Diogo Gomes
  2. 33E. Antoniou
  3. 22K. Neofytou
  4. 35Sérgio Conceição
  1. 1S. Kapino

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Limassol have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; AEL have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Apollon Limassol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Nea Salamis(home)4-21. Division
Oct 10, 2026Krasava Ypsonas(away)3-11. Division
Oct 3, 2026AEK Larnaca(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Apoel Nicosia(home)2-21. Division
Sep 12, 2026Omonia Nicosia(away)0-01. Division
AEL
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Omonia Aradippou(away)2-01. Division
Oct 11, 2026Omonia 29is Maiou(home)2-11. Division
Sep 18, 2026Pafos(away)2-01. Division
Sep 11, 2026Nea Salamis(home)2-11. Division
Sep 6, 2026Apoel Nicosia(away)0-61. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Apollon Limassol wins, 1 draw, 1 AEL win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Apollon Limassol 2-1 AEL1. Division
Nov 30, 2025AEL 2-2 Apollon Limassol1. Division
Jan 2, 2025AEL 0-1 Apollon Limassol1. Division
Sep 15, 2024Apollon Limassol 3-0 AEL1. Division
Apr 20, 2024Apollon Limassol 4-1 AEL1. Division
Mar 8, 2024AEL 2-1 Apollon Limassol1. Division

Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs AEL on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Apollon Limassol score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Apollon Limassol1.91.658/1511/15
AEL1.51.449/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Apollon Limassol sit 2nd in 1. Division (12 points from 6 matches) and AEL sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1AEL650110815
2Apollon Limassol633014812

A question about Apollon Limassol vs AEL?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs AEL?
The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for AEL.
Where and when is Apollon Limassol vs AEL played?
Apollon Limassol vs AEL is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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