AEK Larnaca vs Ludogorets: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 25, 2018 at 04:55 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Lárnaka (Larnaca)
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What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Ludogorets?
AEK Larnaca and Ludogorets drew 1-1 on October 25, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 7′J. LukokiLudogorets
- 25′Jorge Larena Avellaneda RoigAEK Larnaca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEK Larnaca have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Ludogorets have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Doxa(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Ermis(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 24, 2018 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2018 | FC Zurich(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Levski Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 4-1 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2018 | FC Zurich(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Nesebar(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AEK Larnaca score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 2.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ludogorets | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy