AEL vs AEK Larnaca: result 2-3 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 14, 2024 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
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What was the result of AEL vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca won 2-3 on February 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 8′Gus LedesAEK Larnaca
- 55′A. Mendes MoreiraAEL
- 66′F. TongyaAEK Larnaca
- 74′Ángel GarcíaAEK Larnaca
- 90′Djalma SilvaAEL
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Karmiotissa(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Feb 1, 2024 | Nea Salamis(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Othellos(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Karmiotissa(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AEL win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 AEK Larnaca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 3-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 19, 2023 | AEL 2-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Nov 13, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 26, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 3-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Nov 28, 2021 | AEL 0-2 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Apr 11, 2021 | AEK Larnaca 0-1 AEL | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEL sit 8th in 1. Division (44 points from 33 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 2nd (69 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy