AEL vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AEL vs Apollon Limassol?
Apollon Limassol starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AEL win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Apollon Limassol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | AEL 2-2 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Jan 2, 2025 | AEL 0-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Apollon Limassol 3-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Apollon Limassol 4-1 AEL | 1. Division |
| Mar 8, 2024 | AEL 2-1 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs AEL on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AEL sit 8th in 1. Division (44 points from 33 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 3rd (67 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AEL vs Apollon Limassol?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for AEL.
- Where and when is AEL vs Apollon Limassol played?
- AEL vs Apollon Limassol is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.