Match

AEL vs Apollon Limassol: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi

AELApollon Limassol

The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for AEL. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apollon Limassol wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,966 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AEL vs Apollon Limassol?

Apollon Limassol starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,854).

34%27%39%
AEL winDrawApollon Limassol win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AEL vs Apollon Limassol

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AEL

4-2-3-1
  1. 10R. Oudin
  1. 11L. Singh
  2. 30G. Papageorgiou
  3. 6D. Zdravkovski
  4. 20João Tavares
  5. 80Jair Tavares
  1. 23Diogo Gomes
  2. 33E. Antoniou
  3. 22K. Neofytou
  4. 35Sérgio Conceição
  1. 1S. Kapino

Apollon Limassol

4-2-3-1
  1. 30Dani Escriche
  1. 27G. Weissbeck
  2. 23Brandon Thomas
  3. 12Gustavo Assunção
  4. 10Garry Rodrigues
  5. 77I. Ljubic
  1. 44J. Kvída
  2. 37L. Konomis
  3. 14G. Malekkides
  4. 76Bruno Gaspar
  1. 22P. Kühn

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:42 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AEL have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Apollon Limassol have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AEL
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Omonia Aradippou(away)2-01. Division
Oct 11, 2026Omonia 29is Maiou(home)2-11. Division
Sep 18, 2026Pafos(away)2-01. Division
Sep 11, 2026Nea Salamis(home)2-11. Division
Sep 6, 2026Apoel Nicosia(away)0-61. Division
Apollon Limassol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Nea Salamis(home)4-21. Division
Oct 10, 2026Krasava Ypsonas(away)3-11. Division
Oct 3, 2026AEK Larnaca(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Apoel Nicosia(home)2-21. Division
Sep 12, 2026Omonia Nicosia(away)0-01. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AEL win, 1 draw, 4 Apollon Limassol wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Apollon Limassol 2-1 AEL1. Division
Nov 30, 2025AEL 2-2 Apollon Limassol1. Division
Jan 2, 2025AEL 0-1 Apollon Limassol1. Division
Sep 15, 2024Apollon Limassol 3-0 AEL1. Division
Apr 20, 2024Apollon Limassol 4-1 AEL1. Division
Mar 8, 2024AEL 2-1 Apollon Limassol1. Division

Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs AEL on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AEL score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Limassol score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AEL1.51.449/159/15
Apollon Limassol1.91.658/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AEL sit 1st in 1. Division (15 points from 6 matches) and Apollon Limassol sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1AEL650110815
3Apollon Limassol633014812

A question about AEL vs Apollon Limassol?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AEL vs Apollon Limassol?
The Footlab AI model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for AEL.
Where and when is AEL vs Apollon Limassol played?
AEL vs Apollon Limassol is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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