Aetos Orfani vs Eleftheroupolis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 9Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Panayot Volov, Shumen
The Footlab AI model makes Aetos Orfani the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Eleftheroupolis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aetos Orfani wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aetos Orfani vs Eleftheroupolis?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Aetos Orfani (1,623) and Eleftheroupolis (1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aetos Orfani vs Eleftheroupolis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aetos Orfani
Not enough data to predict the Aetos Orfani lineup.
Eleftheroupolis
Not enough data to predict the Eleftheroupolis lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aetos Orfani have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Eleftheroupolis have 2, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Thrakis(home) | 4-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | MAS Ardas Kastanion(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 3-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Xanthi FC(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kavala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aetos Orfani score 1.8 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Eleftheroupolis score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aetos Orfani | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Eleftheroupolis | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 1/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
A question about Aetos Orfani vs Eleftheroupolis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aetos Orfani vs Eleftheroupolis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aetos Orfani the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Eleftheroupolis.
- Where and when is Aetos Orfani vs Eleftheroupolis played?
- Aetos Orfani vs Eleftheroupolis is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Panayot Volov, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.