MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Kavala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 9Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes MAS Ardas Kastanion the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Kavala. The most likely score is 1-1. If MAS Ardas Kastanion wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Kavala?
On Elo ratings, MAS Ardas Kastanion has 1,613 points and Kavala 1,743.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Kavala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MAS Ardas Kastanion
Not enough data to predict the MAS Ardas Kastanion lineup.
Kavala
4-3-3- 9M. Sifneos
- 11Yusri El Kandoussi
- 70Giannis Spandonidis
- 21Rakip Bregu
- 20V. Demosthenous
- 73Georgios Simitos
- 7V. Katsoulidis
- 3Konstantinos Dionellis
- 98Jakub Hrustinec
- 5Manolis Aliatidis
- 1Makis Giannikoglou
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, MAS Ardas Kastanion have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Kavala have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(away) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Thrakis(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Xanthi FC(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eleftheroupolis(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(away) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Thrakis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
MAS Ardas Kastanion score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 5; Kavala score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAS Ardas Kastanion | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| Kavala | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
A question about MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Kavala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Kavala?
- The Footlab AI model makes MAS Ardas Kastanion the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Kavala.
- Where and when is MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Kavala played?
- MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Kavala is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.