AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korce: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Skenderbeu Korce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korce?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate AF Elbasani (1,812) and Skenderbeu Korce (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AF Elbasani have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Skenderbeu Korce have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laci(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 31, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| May 4, 2026 | Laci(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Burreli(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 AF Elbasani win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Skenderbeu Korce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | AF Elbasani 1-1 Skenderbeu Korce | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 6, 2025 | AF Elbasani 0-0 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 0-2 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | AF Elbasani 1-1 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 1-1 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korce on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AF Elbasani score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Skenderbeu Korce score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF Elbasani | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Skenderbeu Korce | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AF Elbasani sit 6th in Superliga (1 points from 1 matches) and Skenderbeu Korce sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | AF Elbasani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korce?
- The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Skenderbeu Korce.
- Where and when is AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korce played?
- AF Elbasani vs Skenderbeu Korce is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.