AF Elbasani vs Teuta Durrës: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Teuta Durrës. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Teuta Durrës?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate AF Elbasani (1,812) and Teuta Durrës (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AF Elbasani have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Teuta Durrës have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laci(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 31, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| May 16, 2026 | Pogradeci(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Flamurtari(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Tirana(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AF Elbasani win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Teuta Durrës win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Teuta Durrës 1-2 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Feb 6, 2026 | AF Elbasani 2-1 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Teuta Durrës 0-0 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | AF Elbasani 0-0 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Teuta Durrës 0-0 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Teuta Durrës 0-2 AF Elbasani | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Teuta Durrës vs AF Elbasani on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AF Elbasani score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Teuta Durrës score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF Elbasani | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Teuta Durrës | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AF Elbasani sit 6th in Superliga (1 points from 1 matches) and Teuta Durrës sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AF Elbasani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Teuta Durrës | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AF Elbasani vs Teuta Durrës?
- The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Teuta Durrës.
- Where and when is AF Elbasani vs Teuta Durrës played?
- AF Elbasani vs Teuta Durrës is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.