AF Elbasani vs Tirana: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab AI model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Tirana. The most likely score is 1-1. If AF Elbasani wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate AF Elbasani (1,811) and Tirana (1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AF Elbasani vs Tirana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AF Elbasani
4-3-3- 10A. Nikaj
- 7Ledjo Tresa
- 19A. Mazari
- 17A. Ibrahim
- 41A. Boriçi
- 21A. Deliu
- 4B. Lulaj
- 77B. Lila
- 15Y. Epitaux
- 32F. Antovski
- 24I. Aleksovski
Tirana
4-3-3- 27D. Hazrollaj
- 19R. Xhixha
- 9T. Kiš
- 6A. Krymi
- 7P. Myslovič
- 8S. Vogli
- 3Basilio Ndong
- 95P. Stanić
- 55B. Ilievski
- 15L. Vitija
- 97V. Bekaj
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AF Elbasani have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tirana have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vora(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tirana(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AF Elbasani(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vora(home) | 4-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-3 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AF Elbasani wins, 2 draws, 1 Tirana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tirana 2-2 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani 1-3 Tirana | Superliga |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Tirana 0-1 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Dec 24, 2025 | AF Elbasani 1-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Tirana 1-4 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Mar 31, 2025 | AF Elbasani 2-1 Tirana | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Tirana vs AF Elbasani on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AF Elbasani score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tirana score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF Elbasani | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Tirana | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AF Elbasani sit 5th in Superliga (7 points from 6 matches) and Tirana sit 4th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tirana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| 5 | AF Elbasani | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
A question about AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
- The Footlab AI model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Tirana.
- Where and when is AF Elbasani vs Tirana played?
- AF Elbasani vs Tirana is played on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.