AF Elbasani vs Tirana: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Tirana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate AF Elbasani (1,812) and Tirana (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AF Elbasani have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tirana have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laci(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 31, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AF Elbasani win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tirana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani 1-3 Tirana | Superliga |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Tirana 0-1 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Dec 24, 2025 | AF Elbasani 1-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Tirana 1-4 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Mar 31, 2025 | AF Elbasani 2-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Tirana 1-1 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: AF Elbasani vs Tirana on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AF Elbasani score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tirana score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF Elbasani | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Tirana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AF Elbasani sit 6th in Superliga (1 points from 1 matches) and Tirana sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AF Elbasani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
- The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Tirana.
- Where and when is AF Elbasani vs Tirana played?
- AF Elbasani vs Tirana is played on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.