AF Elbasani vs Vora: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elbasan Arena, Elbasan
The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Vora. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Vora?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate AF Elbasani (1,812) and Vora (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AF Elbasani have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Vora have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laci(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 31, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Bylis(home) | 5-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AF Elbasani win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vora win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Vora 4-2 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Feb 21, 2026 | AF Elbasani 2-1 Vora | Superliga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Vora 0-1 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | AF Elbasani 1-2 Vora | Superliga |
| Apr 29, 2024 | AF Elbasani 2-0 Vora | 1st Division |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Vora 1-1 AF Elbasani | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
AF Elbasani score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vora score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF Elbasani | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Vora | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AF Elbasani sit 6th in Superliga (1 points from 1 matches) and Vora sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | AF Elbasani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AF Elbasani vs Vora?
- The Footlab model makes AF Elbasani the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Vora.
- Where and when is AF Elbasani vs Vora played?
- AF Elbasani vs Vora is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elbasan Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.