Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Egnatia, Rrogozhinë
The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for AF Elbasani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Egnatia Rrogozhinë (1,869) and AF Elbasani (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egnatia Rrogozhinë have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; AF Elbasani have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laci(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 31, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 AF Elbasani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | AF Elbasani 0-4 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | AF Elbasani 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Cup |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 AF Elbasani | Cup |
| Mar 20, 2026 | AF Elbasani 0-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-2 AF Elbasani | Superliga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | AF Elbasani 1-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AF Elbasani score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AF Elbasani | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st in Superliga (3 points from 1 matches) and AF Elbasani sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | AF Elbasani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
- The Footlab model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for AF Elbasani.
- Where and when is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani played?
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Egnatia, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.