AFC Amsterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam II: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam
The Footlab model makes AFC Amsterdam the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Sparta Rotterdam II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Amsterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate AFC Amsterdam (1,862) and Sparta Rotterdam II (1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Amsterdam have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kloetinge(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | HHC(home) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 6-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 6-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AFC Amsterdam win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sparta Rotterdam II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II 3-0 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 8, 2025 | AFC Amsterdam 1-4 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam II 4-2 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 5, 2024 | AFC Amsterdam 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2024 | AFC Amsterdam 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam II 0-0 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam II vs AFC Amsterdam on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Amsterdam score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam II score 2.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Amsterdam | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam II | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Amsterdam sit 10th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam II sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Amsterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Amsterdam the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Sparta Rotterdam II.
- Where and when is AFC Amsterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam II played?
- AFC Amsterdam vs Sparta Rotterdam II is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.