Match

Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (IJsselmeervogels), Bunschoten-Spakenburg

IjsselmeervogelsHoek

The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Ijsselmeervogels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Ijsselmeervogels (1,852) and Hoek (1,945).

Ijsselmeervogels win37 %
Draw24 %
Hoek win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ijsselmeervogels have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ijsselmeervogels
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Quick Boys(home)0-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Kozakken Boys(away)2-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 8, 2026EVV(home)10-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Jong AZ(home)1-7Friendlies Clubs
Jun 13, 2026Excelsior Maassluis(home)1-0Tweede Divisie
Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Katwijk(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026De Treffers(away)2-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)2-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ijsselmeervogels win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hoek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Ijsselmeervogels 2-1 HoekTweede Divisie
Oct 25, 2025Hoek 2-1 IjsselmeervogelsTweede Divisie
Sep 20, 2022Ijsselmeervogels 0-0 HoekKNVB Beker

Last archived meeting: Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ijsselmeervogels score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ijsselmeervogels2.31.668/1510/15
Hoek1.91.4311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ijsselmeervogels sit 8th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hoek2110424
8Ijsselmeervogels2101223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek?
The Footlab model makes Hoek the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Ijsselmeervogels.
Where and when is Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek played?
Ijsselmeervogels vs Hoek is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (IJsselmeervogels), in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ijsselmeervogels and Hoek

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