Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 played?

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, Bournemouth, Dorset

AFC Bournemouth U21

Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,647).

AFC Bournemouth U21 win65 %

Draw18 %

Derby County U21 win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Bournemouth U21 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Derby County U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Bournemouth U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chelsea U21(home)	2-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026	Cardiff City U21(away)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Jul 10, 2026	Worthing(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2026	Huddersfield Town U21(away)	1-4	Professional Development League
Apr 24, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	1-0	Professional Development League

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Reading U21(away)	1-4	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 AFC Bournemouth U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Derby County U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2025	AFC Bournemouth U21 0-3 Derby County U21	Premier League Cup
Sep 13, 2024	Derby County U21 2-3 AFC Bournemouth U21	Premier League Cup
Dec 12, 2022	Derby County U21 3-0 AFC Bournemouth U21	Premier League Cup
Sep 23, 2022	AFC Bournemouth U21 2-1 Derby County U21	Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 on Jan 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
AFC Bournemouth U21	2.3	2.2	3	11/15	12/15
Derby County U21	1.1	2.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	AFC Bournemouth U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21?: The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 played?: AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.