Match

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, Bournemouth, Dorset

AFC Bournemouth U21Derby County U21

The Footlab AI model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,593).

58%20%22%
AFC Bournemouth U21 winDrawDerby County U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AFC Bournemouth U21

4-3-3
  1. 7G. Chubinidze
  2. 9J. Day
  3. 16N. Osazee
  1. 8Ben Winterburn
  2. 10C. Stevens
  3. 4E. Sills
  1. 6A. Ali
  2. 2M. Lyall-Rajendra
  3. 5Harold William
  4. 3Ademide Solanke
  1. 1M. Allan

Derby County U21

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Wilson
  2. 9J. Oguntolu
  3. 9Z. Marsh
  1. 7C. Smith
  2. 6M. Tola
  3. 11F. Jones
  1. 3K. Robinson
  2. 2I. Gordon
  3. 5A. Osayande
  4. 5Raymond Offor
  1. 1N. Bilokapić

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Bournemouth U21 have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Derby County U21 have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Bournemouth U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Plymouth U21(home)6-1Premier League Cup
Sep 21, 2026Stoke City U21(home)2-1Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 12, 2026Southampton U21(away)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 4, 2026Leicester City U21(away)1-0Premier League Cup
Aug 31, 2026Middlesbrough U21(home)3-1Premier League 2 Division One
Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Scunthorpe(away)2-2National League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Brentford U21(away)2-4Premier League Cup
Sep 18, 2026Burnley U21(away)1-4Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 11, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 8, 2026Gateshead(away)3-1National League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 AFC Bournemouth U21 wins, 0 draws, 2 Derby County U21 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2025AFC Bournemouth U21 0-3 Derby County U21Premier League Cup
Sep 13, 2024Derby County U21 2-3 AFC Bournemouth U21Premier League Cup
Dec 12, 2022Derby County U21 3-0 AFC Bournemouth U21Premier League Cup
Sep 23, 2022AFC Bournemouth U21 2-1 Derby County U21Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 on Jan 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.6 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AFC Bournemouth U212.31.8311/1512/15
Derby County U211.62.6211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Bournemouth U21 sit 8th in Premier League 2 Division One (9 points from 4 matches) and Derby County U21 sit 20th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8AFC Bournemouth U214301869
20Derby County U2141129124

A question about AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21?
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 played?
AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on January 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AFC Bournemouth U21 and Derby County U21

Ready to know everything about football?