Match

Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Liverpool’s Academy Ground, Knowsley, Merseyside

Liverpool U21Derby County U21

The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool U21 the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21?

Liverpool U21 starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,604).

61%19%20%
Liverpool U21 winDrawDerby County U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Liverpool U21

4-2-3-1
  1. 9J. Danns
  1. 8M. Laffey
  2. 11J. Lambie
  3. 10J. McConnell
  4. 6B. Trueman
  5. 17J. Bradshaw
  1. 7O. O'Connor
  2. 4W. Omoruyi
  3. 5T. Ndiaye
  4. 3L. Chambers
  1. 1B. Hall

Derby County U21

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Wilson
  2. 9J. Oguntolu
  3. 9Z. Marsh
  1. 7C. Smith
  2. 6M. Tola
  3. 11F. Jones
  1. 3K. Robinson
  2. 2I. Gordon
  3. 5A. Osayande
  4. 5Raymond Offor
  1. 1N. Bilokapić

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:11 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Derby County U21 have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Liverpool U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Reading U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 6, 2026Doncaster(away)0-1EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Rochdale(away)3-3EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Brighton U21(home)5-1Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 14, 2026West Ham United U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Birmingham City U21(away)4-0Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 13, 2026Scunthorpe(away)2-2National League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Brentford U21(away)2-4Premier League Cup
Sep 18, 2026Burnley U21(away)1-4Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 11, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Liverpool U21 win, 1 draw, 0 Derby County U21 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 21, 2024Liverpool U21 3-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2023Derby County U21 1-1 Liverpool U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 on Sep 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Liverpool U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Liverpool U212.31.739/1510/15
Derby County U211.82.6211/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Liverpool U21 sit 4th in Premier League 2 Division One (10 points from 5 matches) and Derby County U21 sit 20th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Liverpool U2153119410
20Derby County U2141129124

A question about Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool U21 the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 played?
Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Liverpool’s Academy Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Liverpool U21 and Derby County U21

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