Where and when is Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 played?

Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Liverpool’s Academy Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Liverpool’s Academy Ground, Knowsley, Merseyside

Liverpool U21

Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes Liverpool U21 the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21?

Liverpool U21 starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,650).

Liverpool U21 win63 %

Draw18 %

Derby County U21 win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool U21 have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Derby County U21 have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Liverpool U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Everton U21(away)	1-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 1, 2026	Cardiff City U21(home)	3-4	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 26, 2026	Crystal Palace U21(home)	2-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 22, 2026	Crystal Palace U21(home)	1-5	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 16, 2026	Manchester City U21(away)	0-2	Premier League 2 Division One

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Reading U21(away)	3-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Liverpool U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby County U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 21, 2024	Liverpool U21 3-1 Derby County U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2023	Derby County U21 1-1 Liverpool U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 on Sep 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Liverpool U21 score 2.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Liverpool U21	2.6	1.7	4	10/15	11/15
Derby County U21	1.3	2.3	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Liverpool U21 sit 15th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Derby County U21 sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Derby County U21	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
15	Liverpool U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21?: The Footlab model makes Liverpool U21 the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 played?: Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Liverpool’s Academy Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.