AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Manchester United U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, Bournemouth, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for AFC Bournemouth U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Manchester United U21?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate AFC Bournemouth U21 (1,835) and Manchester United U21 (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Bournemouth U21 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Manchester United U21 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2026 | Huddersfield Town U21(away) | 1-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 1-0 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 5-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Brighton U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 8, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 4-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 4, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth U21 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Manchester United U21 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Bournemouth U21 sit 10th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Manchester United U21 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Manchester United U21?
- The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for AFC Bournemouth U21.
- Where and when is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Manchester United U21 played?
- AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Manchester United U21 is played on March 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFC Bournemouth Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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