Where and when is Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21 played?

Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Old Trafford, Manchester

Manchester United U21

Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21?

Manchester United U21 starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,668).

Manchester United U21 win68 %

Draw17 %

Derby County U21 win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester United U21 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Derby County U21 have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Manchester United U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Ipswich Town U21(home)	5-0	Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 31, 2026	Altrincham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Brighton U21(away)	0-1	Premier League 2 Division One
May 8, 2026	Manchester City U21(away)	4-3	Premier League 2 Division One
May 4, 2026	Crystal Palace U21(away)	2-0	Premier League 2 Division One

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Reading U21(away)	3-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Manchester United U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Derby County U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 6, 2026	Manchester United U21 1-1 Derby County U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 1, 2024	Manchester United U21 2-4 Derby County U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21 on Feb 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Manchester United U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Manchester United U21	1.9	1.4	3	9/15	8/15
Derby County U21	1.3	2.3	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Manchester United U21 sit 1st in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Derby County U21 sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Manchester United U21	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
4	Derby County U21	1	1	0	0	3	1	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21?: The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21 played?: Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.